March Madness East Region betting breakdown: Kentucky the favorite


As we proceed our breakdown of every NCAA Tournament area, we now flip our consideration to the East Region.

Baylor, the defending nationwide champion, is the No. 1 seed in the area, however there’s stiff competitors elsewhere in the part.

Kentucky, Purdue and UCLA fill out the top-four seeds in the area whereas blue blood North Carolina is the eighth seed in the area.

So with out additional delay, listed below are our picks for the greatest worth, crew to avoid and which crew reaches the nationwide semifinals.

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Best East Region Value Bet – #4 UCLA (+600)

The Bruins crumbled late in the PAC-12 title sport, however the underlying statistics for this crew counsel it’s able to making a run.

Coach Mick Cronin’s aspect is fifteenth amongst event groups in adjusted offensive effectivity and tenth amongst event groups in adjusted defensive effectivity, per

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Plus, UCLA’s adjusted effectivity margin is the third-best in the area and is just barely decrease than Baylor’s total adjusted effectivity (26.32 for the Bears vs. 24.85 for the Bruins, once more per

UCLA demonstrated it was able to a deep run in final 12 months’s event and personal some stable wins towards high competitors this season, posting two victories towards Arizona and Villanova.

Steer Clear – #3 Purdue (+450)

Although this isn’t strictly a “favorite” to emerge from the area, Purdue’s path to the regional finals is affected by high quality opponents.

Should Texas get previous a scorching Virginia Tech crew, I consider their protection presents some actual matchup issues for the Purdue offense. The Longhorns personal the second-best adjusted defensive effectivity in the area, which may trigger issues for Purdue’s offense.

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Even if the Boilermakers get previous Texas, there’s an enormous hole on paper between them and certain regional semifinal opponent Kentucky. Plus, regardless that the Wildcats personal a worse file towards the top-25 this season, Purdue performed in what I had rated a a lot weaker convention.

From the place I’m sitting, the ceiling for Purdue is the regional last, however I wouldn’t be shocked to see it crash out as early as the second spherical.

Pick to Advance – Kentucky (+200)

In assist of the earlier statements, this Kentucky crew is considered one of the greatest in the event. It has the third-best adjusted effectivity margin in the nation and the fourth-best offense in the land.

It has additionally performed actually good basketball as of late, ending the season 11-3 in the final 14 video games, a run that started with a marquee win over Kansas at Phog Allen Fieldhouse.

Kentucky vs. Duke
John Calipari

Further, three of Kentucky’s seven losses this season got here towards Auburn and Tennessee, groups it gained’t have to fret about going through in the event. With that in thoughts, I query whether or not there’s a protection that may comprise a potent Kentucky offense from this area.

Who is aware of what crew emerges from the high half of this bracket, however I’m assured Kentucky does no worse than a regional last run.

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