SOFIA, Oct 6 (Reuters) – Bulgaria’seconomy is anticipated to rebound with progress of 4% this yr and accelerating to 4.9% in 2022, the finance ministry mentioned in its autumn macroeconomic forecast on Wednesday.
The small and open financial system contracted by 4.2% in 2020 when the coronavirus pandemic hit jobs and companies.
The ministry mentioned sturdy home demand within the first half of 2021 has prompted it to extend its GDP progress forecast from an earlier estimate of three.5%.
Strong private and non-private funding, bolstered by anticipated hefty inflows from the European Union’s coronavirus restoration fund, and an improved financial atmosphere will additional enhance progress in 2022, it mentioned.
The financial restoration and excessive world oil costs are anticipated to spice up inflation to three.8% on the finish of 2021, which ought to gradual to 2% on the finish of 2022, the ministry mentioned.
Bulgaria pegs its lev foreign money to the euro below a foreign money board association that stops the central financial institution from setting rates of interest and leaves fiscal coverage as the principle device to affect the financial system.
The Balkan nation boosted spending to protect companies and pensioners from the hit from the coronavirus disaster but additionally decreased the fiscal deficit goal to three.6% of GDP.
A brand new wave of the pandemic that triggers restrictions and a failure to effectively faucet the EU restoration funds would pose dangers to the forecast, the ministry mentioned.
Bulgaria, which is going through its third common election this yr in November, is but to submit its nationwide plan to utilize over 6 billion euros in EU restoration grants.